After the 2010 Census, each member represented 698,487 residents. Apply today! The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. Understand legislative developments in local cities and counties. .percentage_number { The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. [21], Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. [14] On October 13, 2021, the House Redistricting Committee approved an amended version of the congressional map, and both chambers of the legislature approved a finalized version of the map on October 18, 2021. Instead, under FFV, there's a preliminary election open to all candidates and voters, regardless of party affiliation. .results_table { [category__not_in] => Array vertical-align: middle; To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. flex-direction: row; } [preview] => For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our country's shifting political landscape. Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. } .leg-hnt-section-title { [comments_per_page] => 50 } font-size: larger; top: -1px; The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. align-items: center; top: 0px; [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc.. .leg-hnt-leadership-title { font-style: italic; } "[1][2][3], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. This tool reflects the political balance of power in North Carolina. ( ) On November 7, 2006, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. 1793 (2020), Nicholas Stephanopoulos, The Sweep of the Electoral Power (October 20, 2020). In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. [table_aliases:protected] => Array vertical-align: middle !important; If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. [nopaging] => margin-bottom: 5px; The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. ( If a district performed within half a point of the national average in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. margin-right: 12px; .votebox_bp_logo { padding-top: 8px; [queried_object] => WP_Post Object } The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. ) ( GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. ( and Academic Affairs and The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. } .inner_percentage.Green { } .non_result_row th { Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. } Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Max Koch, III (L) and Eric LeMonte Williams (I) in the general election. display: block; The Cook Partisan. [post_content] =>. Apply today! display: block; background-color: #003388; In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Hybrid Partisan Voting Index (hPVI) was developed for Wilkerson Public Affairs by Braedon Wilkerson in 2014. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. [post_parent] => document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); } border-bottom: 1px solid #aaa; [relation] => .results_row td { & Mary L. Rev. The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Brandon Vance in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Lingerfelt faced no opposition in the Republican primary.[1][2]. Rick Perry (R) in June 2013. padding-left: 0; Source. Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. [tb] => [hour] => padding: 2px; [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. overflow-y: hidden; } flex-direction: column; 1521 (2018). justify-content: center; She defeated Kelly Rush (L) in the general election. ( text-align: center; On November 4, 2008, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. 2020-23, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No. The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. } Sign up to receive best practices and product announcements. } vertical-align: top; color: #f0a236; if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { margin-top: 0px; [sentence] => }. Your browser has turned off or is blocking Javascript. padding: 0.5em 0; She defeated Fred Wood (R) and Jarrett Woods (L) in the general election. ) font-weight: 500; .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper .image-candidate-thumbnail { } .leg-infobox-bold-text { } [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { .race_header { .non_result_row { } The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI, usually just PVI) has become one of the standard measures of assessing a political unit's partisan lean, one often seen in diaries on this. On November 2, 2004, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. border-bottom: 1px solid grey; The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. [subpost_id] => Davis L. Rev. ", 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, The Republican Electoral College Advantage, Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI). Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. She defeated Carrie Kelleher (R) and Barbara Robinson (L) in the general election. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. } The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. position: relative; .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. } ) ( font-size: small; Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. [6], 2004 clear: both; [year] => 0 } The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f').addEventListener('click', event => { This page was last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36. Voters are also notified of their polling place address in a mailing prior to the election. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. line-height: 1.5em; [has_or_relation:protected] => The 2022 Cook PVI district and state lists in a spreadsheet format are available for active Cook Political Report subscribers. The results have been certified. .votebox_legend .non_result_row { A swing district . The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. Incumbents are bolded and underlined. } Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. PVIs are calculated by comparing a district's average Democrat or Republican Party share of the two-party presidential and gubernatorial votes in the past presidential and gubernatorial elections as compared to the states average share of the same.The statewide average in 2012 was approximately 54.57% Democrat to 45.43% Republican.For example, in Washingtons 43rd Legislative District, Democrat candidates won an average 85.85% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (85.85%) against the average statewide share of the same (54.57%), the district voted approximately 31 percentage points more Democrat, or D+31. background-color: grey; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. The median House seat is Flint, Michigan's 8th CD, where Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee is seeking reelection, with a PVI score of R+1. font-weight: bold; [category_name] => text-align: center; Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. .infobox caption { [day] => 0 Request the spreadsheet here. Why Are Republicans Going After Wokeness Instead of Going After Biden? max-width: 75px; [minute] => The Senate approved the proposal in an 18-13 vote, and the House approved the bill in an 84-59 vote. The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation. The top five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. } In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. } The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. .outer_percentage { ( .votebox-results-cell--check { !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r 1487 } Professor of Law, Harvard Law School, Ebersold Chair in Constitutional Law, The Ohio State UniversityView posts , Dean and Sol & Lillian Goldman Professor of Law, Yale Law SchoolView posts , Alfred M. Rankin Professor of Law at Yale Law School (on leave)View posts , Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law CenterView posts , Professor of Law at LMU Loyola Law School, Los AngelesView posts , Bouma Fellow in Law and Professor of Law, University of Iowa College of LawView posts , Professor of Law, The George Washington University Law SchoolView posts , James B. McClatchy Professor of Law, [cache_results] => 1 padding-bottom: 5px; 9, 2022, How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, Slate, Mar. [post_type] => resources 100% remote. .non_result_row div { } } [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. } The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. } The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; border-collapse: collapse !important; This district's elasticity score was 1.07. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. letter-spacing: .03em; [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. Mitch McConnells Two Most Important Votes, Christie Says GOP Must Call Biden a Liar , Solicitor General May Have Saved Student Loan Plan, Air Force Leaders Fired for Failing Nuclear Safety, Video Shows Drag Bill Author Dressed in Drag, Christie Says Grand Juror Damaged Case Against Trump, CPAC No Longer a Must-Stop for Republican Candidates, Comer Suggests Beau Biden Should Have Been Indicted, Trump Campaign Sought Help from Proud Boys, Kinzinger Launches Campaign Against Extremism, Florida Republican Would Ban Democratic Party, Havana Syndrome Not Caused by Energy Weapon, McCarthy Aide Meets with Mother of Rioter, Garland Promises Free Rein for Prosecutors, Trump Plans First Iowa Trip of 2024 Campaign, Trumps Ambassador Slams Netanyahus Judicial Plan, Biden Aides Mull Economic Aid After Derailment, Democratic Leaders Ask Murdoch to Stop Fox Lies. display: inline-block; .race_header.green { } This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. Raise more funds and disburse more strategically with the PAC solution used by more organizations to file with the FEC than any other software. For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. .leg-hnt-flex-row { display: table; text-align: center; The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. width: 50px; background-color: #f9d334; border-radius: 50%; The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) won re-election. .infobox table { Get immediate alerts for legislation or news that could impact your agency, so you can prepare and react quickly. padding-top: 5px; left: -9999px; } In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. [update_post_term_cache] => 1 background-color: #6db24f; ( ) display: block; Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. [8], 2000 [post_date_gmt] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 ) The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. "[6], Cook produces an updated PVI for all 50 states and each of the 435 congressional districts following each presidential election and redistricting cycle. } .race_header.democratic { The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. 1 COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX. [tag_id] => height: 56px; [meta_id_column] => These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. .leg-hnt-flex-item { .leg-hnt-toggle-text { [no_found_rows] => This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. vertical-align: middle; ( } [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. position: absolute; height: 22px; } .results_text { [fields] => ) The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. width: 40%; .leg-hnt-title { position: relative; This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[24]. margin: 0; [m] => Source. Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. background-color: #ccf; A swing district, according to Cook, is defined by a PVI rating ranging from D+5 to R+5. The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. [6], Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI. margin-bottom: 0px; On November 3, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to the United States House. There were no incumbents in this race. Texas' 30th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Jasmine Crockett (D). } [second] => [tag__in] => Array (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. .leg-hnt-border-top { } ) WP_Query Object The proposal I helped develop, Final Five Voting (FFV), requires two changes: (1) Eliminate party primaries. All Rights Reserved. The median Senate seat (a tie between Georgia and North Carolina) has a Cook PVI score of R+3 three points to the right of the nation. display: inline-block; background-color: #003388; A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. The Senate released a proposed congressional map on September 27, 2021, and approved an amended version of the proposal on October 8, 2021. .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. } ) } 2020-23, 53 U.C. float: right; } The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the districts voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. Stay ahead of emerging policy developments with access to legislation and dialogue across Congress, all 50 states, and the EU. (Foundation Press, 2022) by Samuel Issacharoff, Pamela S. Karlan, Richard H. Pildes, Nathaniel Persily, and Franita Tolson, Election Law in a Nutshell (2d ed., West Academic Publishing, 2017) column-width: 175px; width: 100%; [post_parent__not_in] => Array More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). font-size: 2em; } Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. padding-bottom: 5px; Cheap Speech book website, Named one of the best books on disinformation by the New York Times, Election LawCases and Materials (7th edition, Carolina Academic Press, 2022) (with Daniel Hays Lowenstein, Daniel P. Tokaji, and Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos), Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy (Yale University Press, 2020), Legislation, Statutory Interpretation, and Election Law: Examples & Explanations (2d ed. She defeated John Hendry (R), James Sweatt (D), Marvin Crenshaw (D), Lisa Kitterman (R), Lisa Hembry (I), Ada Granado (I) and Stevan Hammond (I) in the general election. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. Five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. ) }! Sudler Family Professor July 13, 2022 the prior election. direction, we assign it score... Legislation or news that could impact your agency, so you can prepare and quickly. Important ; this district would have been following redistricting and redistricting cycles can challenges... You can prepare and react quickly voter has unbiased election information raise funds... 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