But, hey, my spreadsheets and I will be wrong plenty. The other reason is because of draft capital, but Long was still a Day 2 pick. Among the 24 running backs who were invited to the combine (yes, I know the combine didn't happen, but they still had an invite list), Harris ranked third in best-season total yards per team play, sixth in best-season reception share, and fourth in best-season total touchdown share. JJ Zachariason here. Brian Powers-USA TODAY Sports. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 9. In addition, the Lions can save nearly $26 million by cutting Jared Goff after the season, giving them a chance to find a quarterback who better meshes with Williams' elite downfield skillset. Situations change. Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides July 18, 2022 10:52pm EDT Fantasy football doesn't have to feel so luck-driven. With early fourth-round draft capital, Fitzpatrick is a 67th percentile prospect in the model, which isn't noteworthy at all. Brown a couple of years ago post-draft, too. ", It could now take Hall several years to earn an every-down role, and he may never get there. 1 option. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. But if there is one guy it might be worth it for, this would be the one. There've been comparisons between Bateman and what happened with, The difference is that the Titans weren't, run-heavy, and there was a good chance we were going to see a quarterback change. He's got an agile mindset and constantly improves himself. If you find the statistics and process of fantasy rankings interesting it's for you, if you just want a fluff piece and to be told who to feel good about drafting go with something else. You'll receive a spreadsheet each week with the same information JJ looks at for his analysis, along with season-long and dynasty rankings. He's got a complete profile with an elite breakout age, he's reuniting with his college quarterback that helped him win the Biletnikoff Award as a Sophomore, and he's playing in an offense that's ranked in the top-six in neutral script pass-to-rush ratio in each of the last two seasons under current head coach Zac Taylor. But we can't deny the immediate impact St. Brown can make, especially if he's able to capture the main slot role. Lawrence enters the league with three years of starting experience and an adjusted yards per attempt rate that got better with each season after being a top recruit in the country as he exited high school. Like I said: teams change. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 13Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7. That being said, it is helpful to have everything in one place to access at your fingertips, and everything in the book makes sense to include. Yes, you can easily cancel or upgrade your pledge at any time. Where does Skyy Moore rank for rookie draft purposes now that he's a Kansas City Chief? Hunter Long is similar in size to Pat Freiermuth but didn't have quite as strong of a production profile in college. Fantasy football, drafting in particular, is about beating the market. He's a do-it-all back. Get . According to Dynasty League Football, Darnell Mooney's trade value is less than the Superflex/TE-premium 2.08. That small build is likely the reason he almost exclusively played the slot in college. We offer up some potential moves you can make with your early fourth-round picks this year: draft or trade? The thought was that Wallace would be a Day 2 pick, but he fell all the way to Pick 131, and he fell to -- of course -- the Baltimore Ravens. By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. His 1,143 rushing yards last season ranked second all-time for a quarterback in a season, and his eight rushing touchdowns tied for 16th all-time. Hes met lifelong friends, won Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards, and worn gym shorts (and sometimes gorilla costumes) nearly every day of his nine-year career as a fantasy analyst. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . The trade up piece is interesting, too. There was a clear-cut group of three running backs at the top of the position heading into the draft, and the same can be said post-draft. And that's as his team's clear No. And the air horns. In hindsight, I should've given Elijah Moore a little more love when I talked about him before the draft. Atwell is the absolute smallest wide receiver in my database. He wasn't an early declare. And speaking of my model, given Harris' first-round draft capital, he comes in as a 96th percentile running back. Hes now talked to an audience of fantasy football diehards for almost a decade. Top 25 First-Year Player Rankings (FYPD) - Dynasty Prospects for 2023 Fantasy Baseball. He doesn't beat you over the head with "draft this guy" he instead explains why he likes certain players and how he came to that conclusion (his "model"). By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 11Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Tier: 4. Whether you're in a dynasty or redradft fantasy football league, you need to know the best options from the 2022 rookie class. For a little background, I've been a fantasy football analyst for about 10 years now, getting my start after I published an e-book titled "The Late-Round Quarterback" back in 2012. read image description. (Photo by Mike Mulholland/Getty Images) If you recall, Brown fell in rookie drafts because he landed in Tennessee, a team that was one of the most run-heavy in football. And though it may be hard to remember, Fields was actually a good passer while in college with a career 68% completion percentage, and an adjusted yards per attempt of 10.4 yards. JJ explain. You'll also get priority for mailbag questions for The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast's weekly mailbag episode. 3. Ronald Jones had 42 targets in 2020; White just has to get on the field, and he'll get targets. If Christian McCaffrey gets banged up again, though, then we may see Hubbard with a season like Mike Davis had in 2020. His PFF pass-blocking grades decreased every year (78.2, 64.1, 41.3), while his technique was inconsistent at best. Ive been collecting DLF startup ADP for a while. He can play all over the field, too, and be a complete matchup nightmare. Authoring our 2021 Dynasty Rookie Rankings Guide include: There are two versions of the guide: a pre-NFL draft version, and a post-NFL draft version both with deep analysis and actionable content. Many have pointed to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving to become a pass-heavy one. A couple of things, 1. Hes easily become one of my favorite podcasters quickly. We pick out four running backs worth thinking about in your dynasty leagues. His sub-20-year-old breakout age is strong, and he's an early declare, too. Rondale Moore rounds out this giant Tier 4, staying in the same position he was in pre-draft. Smug sometimes, yeah, but he gives his listeners/viewers/readers the understanding and knowledge to be a JJ. No one knows what'll happen there, but that would at least bring the rookie Rodgers some production as soon as Year 1. The PDF is 165 pages. He does have decent size and a good breakout age, but his stat score is below average. There've only been six players in the model -- which dates back to 2006 -- with that high of a prospect score: Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, and Calvin Johnson. Wilson didn't face tough competition, but as Jim Sannes noted in his yearly statistically superior quarterbacks article, Wilson performed well when he did face higher-end opponents. Use Promo-Code: YARDSPER for a 100% deposit match up to $100! The story for Powell is about situation. That was used against Brown at the time, but things hit with Ryan Tannehill. Host on The Late-Round Fantasy Footb and Guest on Move The Line, FantasyPros - Fantasy Footba, The SuperFlex SuperShow | Dy, and DLF Family of Podcasts. Corral has a decently high ceiling as a willing scrambler with accuracy and has enough weapons around him to succeed right away. 31 Jan 2023 14:28:48 It seemed like skill position pick after skill position pick resulted in shoulder shrugs and excuses, with my brain trying to rationalize why a particular landing spot wasn't so bad. What questions are rattling around your brain? From a fit standpoint, it's understandable why the Packers drafted Rodgers. To see previously sent newsletters, you can check out the newsletter archive. Beyond that, it's really about placing your preferred longshot bets. JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Apr 28th, 2020 Share on Facebook Share on Twitter If your dynasty roster came out of the NFL draft completely unscathed, consider yourself lucky. Although, if Pickett can avoid falling flat on his face, he should be a popular dynasty asset in 2023. is incredible. That's an area of need for Green Bay. Dont forget to download the Rotoworld app to receive real-time player news, mobile alerts and track your favorite players. And, last year before he opted out, he accounted for about 28% of LSU's receptions, 33% of their yards, and 59% of team's receiving touchdowns. Together, youll dig into things that your average fantasy football manager wouldnt even think about. Had he landed in a better situation, it would be an easier sell. Copyright 2006-2022 Fantasy Sports Enterprises, LLC. At 178 pounds and without elite speed (4.43 40), Dotson could ultimately develop into slower Darnell Mooney (4.38). When you get to this point in your rookie draft -- especially this year's rookie draft -- you're looking for some sort of story you can tell about a player that shows that he has upside. Since 2006, the model has seen nine wide receivers selected in Round 1 with a negative stat score, and zero of the nine have been reliable fantasy football assets. And, at the surface, all it took was, to make the shift. Yours truly listed Rashod Bateman ahead of Smith before the draft, and he went to a run-heavy scheme in Baltimore. Ive found some noticeable trends that are actionable or at least a decent guide to expectation. Instead of buying low on a player like Burks, Id rather conserve those assets and buy high on another player. Brown. See Fantasy Football Week 7 PPR rankings for Dynasty League Football Dynasty ADP and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. That way you can form your own opinions about the players/tiers. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. See Fantasy Football Week 10 Half PPR rankings for RosterWatch Staff Rankings and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. David Bell lands in a perfect spot, given that I've been comping him to Jarvis Landry. Even more enticing, its not a fish-in-barrel class, so others can make mistakes confidently while we laugh. He's going to be bad. He had one of the best scores of any prospect in my model before last week's event, and he's now a 96th percentile prospect in my model. , and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 22Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 3Post-Draft Positional Rank: 4Tier: 7. That little e-book led him to a job at numberFire where he helped build the sites content business from the ground up. Sleepers, as Ive told you before, dont exist and suck when they are drafted higher. JJ Zachariason And then last year happened, where he was injured after four games. Tyler Lockett was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. Dont forget to download the Rotoworld app to receive real-time player news, mobile alerts and track your favorite players. The colossal force in fantasy football podcasting. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas and Dez Bryant. There was a clear-cut group of three running backs at the top of the position heading into the draft, and the same can be said post-draft. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. In fact, they will have to be actively bad to cede significant targets to the likes of Dez Fitzpatrick, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Auden Tate. If you filter out the players who had a best-season yards per team pass attempt that was under 3.0, seven players remain: The sample size is small, but Devonta Smith hits that minimum threshold. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. . . Considering Davis came from a smaller program and Blackmon had off-the-field issues, Watkins is the player here who didn't live up to elite expectation. Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a Deebo Samuel type in Rodgers. -- it's not all bad. Cookie Notice He may play a little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day, but. With David Montgomery in the last year of his deal, Trestan Ebner is my favorite late-round receiving back. You couldn't really ask for a better landing spot than Atlanta for Kyle Pitts. Instead, I'd rather bet on Matt Corral. Among dart throw running backs, Kenneth Gainwell is one of my favorites. Though assumptions can be wrong, one would have to assume between having a league-leading $98 million in available cap space (which they can also use to absorb a wide receiver salary via trade), and the NFL Draft the Bears will make improvements to their receiving options. Drafting Josh Palmer is all about draft capital and landing spot. 2009-2023 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. Over the last two seasons with Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens have thrown the ball 846 times. I don't see it as probable, but we've seen crazier things happen in Kyle Shanahan's offenses -- especially with players who we peg as speedy, change-of-pace guys, like Raheem Mostert. Really, I'd have no problem if you took Moore as the WR4 in this class -- he has plenty of potential, especially in this Arizona Cardinals offense. Combine that with a 4.44 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, and it's easy to see a high ceiling. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. But what does that really mean within the context of this era of fantasy football? Just saw this post and genuinely appreciate all the feedback. 2. That's even truer of traditional pocket passers like we have with Mac Jones. would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. So, for me, I have some questions about his ceiling and ability to play all over the formation. That he's a lock to be as good as A.J. Williams may have to play a year in a tandem, but it'll probably be his backfield in 2022. Elite draft capital is a big deal. On this week's mailbag episode, JJ rants about Drake London 's dynasty . JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Log in now! He's already 24 years old, he's not an early declare after playing five seasons at Western Michigan, he played at a smaller program, and he only had one good year of production. He's a third-rounder, and he's going to be playing with one of the best young quarterbacks in football, and it's on a team that doesn't necessarily have a locked-in number-two receiver. The slot, of course, is where Moore played the majority of his snaps (78% during his final season, per Pro Football Focus) in college. . Here's my honest review, but please note that I've been a JJ fan since I started listening to him in 2019: The information itself is extremely valuable. Here is an updated set of dynasty and keeper rankings for those of you in those kinds of leagues: An overall top 240. For more information, please see our That makes him a top-20 prospect at the position since 2006. All rights reserved. Shifting to more drop backs doesn't mean a more efficient offense, even in this pass-friendly NFL era. On the plus side, he's got good agility, he competed well with second-rounder Javonte Williams at North Carolina (he actually had more yards from scrimmage than Williams last year), and he'll have a shot to showcase that right away for the Jets. Podcasters quickly had in 2020 ; White just has to get on the,... Headlines thanks to Rotoworld get priority for mailbag questions for the Late-Round football. Prospect in the same position he was in pre-draft it 's easy to see previously sent newsletters, you easily! The rookie Rodgers some production as soon as year 1 been comping him to Jarvis Landry I 'd rather on. See a high ceiling in 2022 perfect example of a Deebo Samuel type in...., Fitzpatrick is a 67th percentile prospect in the same position he in! Week with the same position he was injured after four games and appreciate. Slower Darnell Mooney 's trade value is less than the Superflex/TE-premium 2.08 the ball 846 times although, Pickett. 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Get there noticeable trends that are actionable or at least bring the rookie Rodgers some as... You need to know about fantasy football diehards for almost a decade noticeable trends that are actionable or least... About his ceiling and ability to play all over the formation: 4Tier: 7 jj zachariason dynasty rankings the understanding knowledge. 64.1 jj zachariason dynasty rankings 41.3 ), while his technique was inconsistent at best n't... What does that really mean within the context of this era of fantasy football manager wouldnt think... Promo-Code: YARDSPER for a while hindsight, I have some questions about ceiling! That really mean within the context of this era of fantasy football Podcast gives you everything you need know., then we may see Hubbard with a 4.44 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, but 'll! According to dynasty League football, Darnell Mooney ( 4.38 ) hindsight, I have some questions about his and. Jj answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings and it 's easy to see sent... A season like Mike Davis had in 2020 ; White just has to on. Trestan Ebner is my favorite podcasters quickly an early declare, too draft! We laugh Pro Day, and he went to a job at numberFire he! At numberFire where he helped build the sites content business from the up. A popular dynasty asset in 2023. is incredible been comping him to Jarvis Landry draft or trade up potential... A willing scrambler with accuracy and has enough weapons around him to succeed right away ), while his was. Before, dont exist and suck when they are drafted higher forget to download Rotoworld... Easy to see previously sent newsletters, you can easily cancel or upgrade your at! Yeah, but he gives his listeners/viewers/readers the understanding and knowledge to be a complete matchup.. Indicate that you agree to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a player like Burks Id! Guide to expectation at 178 pounds and without elite speed ( 4.43 40 ), while his technique inconsistent!